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<table border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" width="100%" class="forumline"> <tr> <td class="cat" width="22%">Autor</td> <td class="cat">Wiadomość</td> </tr> <tr> <td width="22%" align="left" valign="top" class="row1"><span class="name"><a name=""></a><b>zjs9g9g8c</b></span></td> <td class="row1" height="28" valign="top"><table width="100%" border="0" cellspacing="0" cellpadding="0"> <tr> <td width="100%"><img src="http://picsrv.fora.pl/Avalanche/images/icon_minipost.gif" width="12" height="9" alt="Post" title="Post" border="0" /><span class="postdetails">Wysłany: Wto 5:25, 15 Mar 2011<span class="gen"> </span> Temat postu: More monthly deficits 'likely'</span></td> </tr> <tr> <td colspan="2"><hr /></td> </tr> <tr> <td colspan="2"><span class="postbody">More monthly deficits 'likely' <br />China is "highly likely" to see more trade deficits in the coming months after it reported a surprise February deficit, the biggest in 7 years, due to slowing overseas demand and rising commodity prices, economists said.The General Administration of Customs (GAC) announced on Thursday a deficit of $7.3 billion in February, the first since last March's deficit of $7.2 billion.The deficit, some economists believe，<a href="http://www.dunksbheels.net/jordan-cmft-max-air-12-leather-c-11.html" target="_blank" class="postlink">Jordan CMFT Max AIR 12 mens</a>, could help reduce pressure to appreciate the yuan. <br />"It is absolutely good news for China, at least in the short term, as calls by some countries for yuan appreciation are getting stronger," said Zhou Shijian，<a href="http://www.dunksbheels.net" target="_blank" class="postlink">jordan women boots</a>, senior researcher at the Center for US-China Relations at Tsinghua University.Exports grew 2.4 percent in February，<a href="http://www.asicsmexicos.com/asics-mexico-66-c-75.html" target="_blank" class="postlink">onitsuka tiger 66</a>, from a year earlier, to $96.74 billion, while imports surged 19.4 percent to $104.04 billion. <br />The GAC cited the Spring Festival as a major factor, as many exporters ceased production during the holiday.The February slump contrasted sharply with January, when exports grew by 37.7 percent and imports surged by 51 percent. <br />Song Hong, head of the section of international trade with the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, attributed the deficit to the "sharp rise in commodity prices".Meanwhile, exports of textiles, mechanical and electrical goods, a large section of the total exports, registered declines. <br />"The increasing cost of labor and raw materials, along with the rising yuan, are major concerns for exporters," said Ding Mingquan, president of Fujian Jinjiang Aojin Knitting & Garments Co Ltd."These combined factors have eroded up to 4 percent of our gross profit," he said. 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But their prices, on average per ton, surged during this period by 62.6 percent for iron ore and 22.7 percent for soybean. <br />"As commodity prices rise, it is likely we will see more deficits in the months ahead," said Zhang Xiaoji, senior researcher with the Development Research Center of the State Council.The Ministry of Commerce has set a target this year to expand imports and stabilize exports. <br />China's trade surplus decreased 34 percent to $196.1 billion in 2009，<a href="http://www.dunksbheels.net" target="_blank" class="postlink">air jordan heels sale</a>, and last year, the surplus further fell by 6.4 percent, to $183.1 billion.Li Daokui, a central bank adviser, predicted on Thursday that the surplus will fall to $150 billion in 2011 and the ratio of surplus to GDP will drop to less than 1 percent in one to two years, from 3.1 percent in 2010. <br />Dong Xian'an，<a href="http://www.dunksbheels.net/air-jordan-high-heels-c-3.html" target="_blank" class="postlink">cheap jordan high heels</a>, chief economist at Peking First Advisory，<a href="http://www.dunksbheels.net/jordan-cmft-max-air-12-leather-c-11.html" target="_blank" class="postlink">Jordan CMFT Max AIR 12 for sale</a>, a private consultancy, predicted the trade deficit will last for "another two months, thanks to increased purchasing by the government of a wide range of goods, including high-tech equipment, aerospace and agricultural goods，<a href="http://www.dunksbheels.net" target="_blank" class="postlink">Jordan CMFT Max Air 12</a>, since December.""The monthly deficit makes it possible for China to slow its currency appreciation," said Dong. <br />Since June's foreign exchange rate reform, the yuan has gained 3.5 percent against the dollar. 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