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Wysłany: Czw 18:54, 06 Sty 2011
Temat postu: Israeli-Palestinian stalemate set to continue
Israeli-Palestinian stalemate set to continue: analysts
Israeli Defense Minister Ehud Barak said Tuesday that 2010 had been the quietest year regarding attacks against Israel in a long time,
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, but he also warned that "a complicated reality continues to surround us."
Speaking to reporters during a tour to the Negev desert,
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, Barak also restated the need to achieve an agreement with the Palestinians,
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, local daily Ha'aretz reported.
Barak's statement came one day after the Israel Security Agency,
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, also known as the Shin Bet,
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, presented its annual summary for 2010. The report said that there were no suicide attacks in 2010,
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, and concluded that number of terror attacks declined,
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, continuing a trend from 2009.
Talking about the prospects of a political solution between Israel and the Palestinians, analysts told Xinhua that chances are dim for quickly finding a political solution to the quandary.
NO PEACE PROCESS
Helga Baumgarten of the political science department at Birzeit University near Ramallah told Xinhua that it's time to stop talking about a peace process,
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, since in her view,
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, the process has not existed for many years.
"The issue is not what will happen to the peace process. The issue is rather when will there be a peace process again,
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," Baumgarten said.
As far as seeing any peaceful agreement on the horizon leading to the end of Israel's occupation and the establishment of a Palestinian state,
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, Baumgarten said the two sides are at a dead-end.
Baumgarten outlined two reasons for the current stalemate: the first is that the Israelis are very strong and hold total military control of the area,
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, while the Palestinians are extremely weak and totally dependent on the support that they get,
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, or don't get from Europe and the United States.
Secondly,
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, the present Israeli government doesn't seem to be ready to make any compromise leading towards an implementation of the two-state solution. In addition, it doesn't look like any power, be it the United States or Europe,
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, on a secondary level, is prepared to pressure Israel.
"This leads us to two options, either we will see another couple of years with Israel being in control, building more settlements,
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, deepening the occupation,
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, and the Palestinians dreaming of some kind of solution," Baumgarten said.
"The other possibility is a frightening one: that things will simply explode," Baumgarten said,
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, adding that it is very hard to predict what will happen. In any case,
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, she concluded, if events do become explosive,
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, it may very well happen in five to 10 years down the road.
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